Tuesday, December 30, 2014


By Simon Fischler 

After the delegitimization of Israel there are two names that some up Israel's greatest challenge, Hezbollah and Iran.

Both are threats to Israel with or without nuclear weapons. 

Hezbollah and Iran have been in the business of killing people, especially Jews since Ayatollah Khomeini came to power. 

They believe they serve and are fighting for G-d. They are inherently anti-Semitic and seek the destruction of Israel at any cost. 

They are also attempting to establish a Shia dominant system in the Middle-East at the expense of some of Israel's natural Sunni allies. 

What worries me most comes directly from an article written in today's Jerusalem Post. 

The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) conducted a simulation of what would happen if Hezbollah carried out a cross border attack against IDF positions in the Har Dov area and against communities in the Golan Heights region. 

Their estimate is that a major conflict would not ensue. My estimate, is that estimates like this or no good.

It was estimates like this that lead Gamal Abdel Nassar to believe his own rhetoric and remove the UN from the Sinai Peninsula which lead to the Six Day War.

Estimates like this lead Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nashrallahs to believe that Israel was like a spiders web, or a paper tiger and from this came the war of 2006. 

Iran and Hezbollah are desperate.

Combined with what is left of the Alawite Army of Bashar al-Assad, Hezbollah and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard have lost ground in Iraq, Syria and have even become vulnerable inside of Lebanon. 

Many analysts say that Hezbollah has become battle hardened from Syria. They have, but they have also lost many front line soldiers and are stuck in a quagmire that is not going to end soon. 

Hezbollah has proven to have weak offensive capabilities on the ground, the battle of Qusayr was proof of this. 

It took Hezbollah, Assad's Army and Iranian revolutionary guards months to dislodge the badly supplied, barely armed rebels holding the town. 
They have become so desperate they are taking photographs claiming to be on the Lebanese side of the Israeli border.

One would assume they are trying to make noise with this but we already knew they were there. The IDF fought and killed Iranian soldiers during the war against Hezbollah in 2006.

ISIS has managed to kill Iranian Revolutionary Guards Brigadier General Hamid Taghavi in Syria. 

This has made Iran and Hezbollah desperate enough to do something very illogical concerning Israel.  

We saw the outcome of this type of desperation this summer with Hamas.

At this moment there is a keg of dynamite that has largely been set by the horrible foreign policy of the Obama Administration.

If Hezbollah decides to light this keg Israel will without a doubt endure painful times. 

For Lebanon it will be catastrophic and would give Israel the green light to target Iran's nuclear sites.  

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